| That meant that while Trump led in the votes reported from in-person Election Day voting, Biden caught up to and then overtook the president as Democratic-leaning mail ballots were processed | But while we expect Florida to count almost all its votes, a verdict in Pennsylvania is unlikely on Tuesday night |
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| In FiveThirtyEight's , Biden led Trump by 7 | Most counties in Florida are expected to release their early and absentee votes quickly, so a large slice of the vote could be reported during the 7 p |
This year, Democrats focused on running up the score in the suburban counties around Philadelphia, Harrisburg, and Pittsburgh.
4| On November 10, the service projected President Donald Trump would win North Carolina's 15 electoral votes, and on November 11 projected that he would pick up three more votes from Alaska | Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin — where, for what it's worth not that much , the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead — here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes |
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| Which means he's a Nebraska-02 where he's currently leading away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2nd District | Results in races likely to be won by Democrats 65% 33% 74% 58% 40% 84% 55% 43% 84% 54% 45% 99% 60% 38% 93% 53% 45% 95% 55% 42% 93% 66% 32% 80% 61% 38% 66% 57% 40% 97% 63% 35% 70% 59% 40% 92% 54% 44% 99% 53% 46% 99% 54% 43% 87% 64% 34% 99% 59% 40% 99% 59% 39% 96% 65% 32% 95% 93% 5% 80% Solid Republican Dem |
And in the House, Democrats are likely to see the size of their majority shrink rather than expand.
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